Model Predictions
| Model | Raptors 905 | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +9 (118-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Roddy * | 35 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Julian Reese * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | - |
| Alijah Martin * | 30 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Lawson * | 28 | 5-16 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner * | 26 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Tyreke Key | 30 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| AJ Hoggard | 22 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Patrick McCaw | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 35 | 13-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Reece Beekman * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Justin Minaya * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| William Baker * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Phillip Wheeler | 28 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 27 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Johnell Davis | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ace Baldwin | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter