Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valley Suns -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Umude * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Donovan Williams * | 30 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| James Banks III * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jayden Nunn * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 32 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Mangas | 29 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Trey McGowens | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Tre King | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Baugh * | 35 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Koby Brea * | 31 | 4-14 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| JaQuori McLaughlin * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| CJ Huntley * | 28 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 29 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Ruben Nembhard Jr. | 22 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 19 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Burk | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter