Model Predictions
| Model | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | Iowa Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Wolves +7 (136-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristen Newton * | 41 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 18 | - |
| JD Davison * | 38 | 13-24 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 35 | - |
| Efe Abogidi * | 38 | 9-17 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| John Knight III * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Stevie Mitchell | 23 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eric Ayala | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jules Bernard * | 38 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 31 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 33 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Rocco Zikarsky * | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Alize Johnson * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Nate Santos | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nojel Eastern | 20 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dajuan Harris | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Martez Brown | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Donte Ingram | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| CJ Fulton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter