Model Predictions
| Model | Raptors 905 | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +3 (112-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Roddy * | 39 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tyreke Key * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Patrick McCaw * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner * | 21 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Julian Reese * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| AJ Hoggard | 33 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier | 31 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart | 27 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 37 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Reece Beekman * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 32 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Justin Minaya * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| William Baker * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 26 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Phillip Wheeler | 25 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Johnell Davis | 9 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ace Baldwin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter