Model Predictions
| Model | Stockton Kings | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.7% | 19.3% | -7.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valley Suns +6 (117-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeqwon Plowden * | 38 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | - |
| DaQuan Jeffries * | 35 | 10-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Dexter Dennis * | 34 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Gabe Levin * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Stevens * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jon Elmore | 32 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mitchell Mascari | 23 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Baugh * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Koby Brea * | 31 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming * | 29 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Khaman Maluach * | 29 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea * | 24 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 26 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| JaQuori McLaughlin | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| CJ Huntley | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter