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2026-01-20

Model Predictions

Model South Bay Lakers Rio Grande Valley Vipers Spread Result
Elo 52.1% 47.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 58.2% 41.8% -1.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Rio Grande Valley Vipers +7 (126-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Augustas Marčiulionis * 32 6-12 2-4 0-3 4 5 0 0 4 14 7 -
R.J. Davis * 32 7-15 4-7 3-3 3 1 1 0 4 24 10 -
Kylor Kelley * 29 0-0 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 3 2 6 -
Anton Watson * 29 5-7 0-2 2-3 6 3 1 0 2 14 15 -
Chris Mañon * 17 3-5 0-0 1-1 4 6 1 1 0 8 15 -
Luke Goode 26 4-9 3-8 0-1 5 2 0 0 0 11 9 -
Zach Hicks 22 5-9 5-9 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 15 6 -
Arthur Kaluma 19 6-7 3-4 1-1 5 1 1 1 2 17 16 -
Tevian Jones 14 4-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
James Reese 14 1-4 1-2 1-1 2 4 1 0 1 5 7 -

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristen Newton * 39 12-20 3-7 4-6 3 6 3 0 2 32 22 -
Daishen Nix * 35 6-14 1-5 5-8 6 8 3 4 4 21 24 -
Isaiah Crawford * 34 7-12 2-7 1-1 6 4 2 0 1 17 16 -
John Knight III * 31 2-6 1-2 2-2 6 3 1 0 2 7 9 -
Efe Abogidi * 25 3-9 0-4 0-1 8 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Cameron Matthews 26 7-10 2-4 1-2 5 2 4 0 2 17 16 -
Stevie Mitchell 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 2 2 -
Tyler Smith 20 7-13 1-5 1-1 8 2 0 0 0 17 14 -
Caleb McConnell 5 2-3 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 7 5 -

* = starter