Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Santa Cruz Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors +5 (113-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Burk * | 38 | 5-14 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Damion Baugh * | 34 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| JaQuori McLaughlin * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| CJ Huntley * | 30 | 8-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 24 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Alex Schumacher | 19 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taevion Kinsey * | 33 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Chance McMillian * | 33 | 9-13 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Malevy Leons * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Charles Bassey * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 27 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jack Clark | 20 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jacksen Moni | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Trey Galloway | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Franco Miller, Jr. | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter