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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Raptors 905 Capital City Go-Go Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% -
Efficiency 17.1% 82.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -
Points Off/Def 50.2% 49.8% -

Actual: Capital City Go-Go +2 (101-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Raptors 905

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyreke Key * 36 6-14 3-8 2-3 6 1 1 0 1 19 12 -
David Roddy * 29 4-14 1-3 1-1 10 6 2 1 4 10 11 -
Jarkel Joiner * 29 2-7 0-2 1-1 3 2 2 0 1 6 5 -
Olivier Sarr * 26 5-13 0-3 3-5 13 0 1 1 1 15 16 -
Patrick McCaw * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 -
AJ Hoggard 32 6-15 0-4 2-3 3 8 1 0 1 15 11 -
Tyson Degenhart 25 5-9 1-2 0-1 2 0 1 0 3 11 2 -
Quincy Guerrier 23 3-4 1-1 2-3 7 0 1 0 1 10 13 -
Julian Reese 21 4-4 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 1 2 13 15 -

Capital City Go-Go

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leaky Black * 40 1-8 0-4 0-0 9 3 4 0 0 2 10 -
Alondes Williams * 37 6-16 0-4 3-4 8 4 1 0 6 17 8 -
Nolan Hickman * 31 3-9 1-4 0-1 5 3 2 0 1 7 7 -
Skal Labissiere * 30 5-13 4-7 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 14 6 -
Sharife Cooper * 24 12-17 5-8 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 30 17 -
Akoldah Gak 17 3-5 0-1 0-2 7 1 1 1 0 6 11 -
Chris Mantis 17 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
Damari Monsanto 16 3-5 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 2 1 8 6 -
Keshon Gilbert 15 1-8 0-4 2-3 2 4 0 0 2 6 2 -
Jonathan Pierre 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter