Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Wolves | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.0% | 16.0% | -9.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valley Suns -7 (123-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alize Johnson * | 40 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 36 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jules Bernard * | 33 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Rocco Zikarsky * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Nate Santos | 26 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Nojel Eastern | 24 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Dajuan Harris | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Martez Brown | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Baugh * | 35 | 12-21 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 33 | 8-22 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Burk * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| JaQuori McLaughlin * | 25 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| CJ Huntley * | 25 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 29 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Alex Schumacher | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
* = starter