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2026-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Rio Grande Valley Vipers Mexico City Capitanes Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (25.3 off)
Pythagorean 79.6% 20.4% -
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% -
Log Adjusted 79.5% 20.5% -
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: Mexico City Capitanes +25 (122-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristen Newton * 36 7-17 2-9 3-3 3 4 3 0 4 21 10 -
Daishen Nix * 34 6-17 3-8 1-3 4 3 1 1 8 16 0 -
Isaiah Crawford * 32 3-8 2-5 1-2 5 1 3 1 0 10 12 -
John Knight III * 23 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 5 8 -
Cameron Matthews * 20 2-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
Teddy Allen 27 3-11 1-6 5-5 3 5 0 0 2 15 10 -
Tyler Smith 22 6-12 2-5 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 14 7 -
Caleb McConnell 17 1-3 0-1 0-1 3 1 3 0 1 2 5 -
Stevie Mitchell 16 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 3 0 1 4 5 -
Chase Jeter 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 5 6 -

Mexico City Capitanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Boo Buie III * 33 5-12 2-6 1-2 1 2 1 1 2 14 5 -
James Bouknight * 29 7-13 1-6 2-3 4 1 1 0 4 19 8 -
Tomas Chapero * 26 1-1 0-0 1-1 7 1 1 2 3 4 11 -
Ahmad Caver * 26 4-7 0-2 4-4 2 8 4 0 3 15 19 -
RJ Melendez * 24 7-12 1-1 1-2 8 2 1 1 1 16 15 -
Wade Taylor IV 28 5-7 4-6 1-1 5 7 0 0 5 16 16 -
Felipe Haase 25 2-9 1-6 4-4 4 1 1 0 1 13 9 -
LJ Figueroa 25 7-9 3-4 0-0 7 0 4 0 3 17 16 -
Andersson Garcia 18 2-5 0-0 2-3 13 3 2 1 2 6 18 -
Esteban Ezequiel Roacho Amador 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter