Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Salt Lake City Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Salt Lake City Stars -5 (113-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Jones Garcia * | 38 | 12-25 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 18 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Mangas * | 31 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| James Banks III * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Stanley Umude * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jayden Nunn | 26 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Tre King | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Donovan Williams | 15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
Salt Lake City Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tonje * | 36 | 10-21 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | - |
| Max Abmas * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Justin Harmon * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Cameron McGriff * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Sean East II | 30 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Matthew Murrell | 27 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Max Klesmit | 17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Steven Crowl | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter