Model Predictions
| Model | Raptors 905 | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.7% | 20.3% | -7.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron -1 (98-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Key * | 39 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Olivier Sarr * | 33 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| David Roddy * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Patrick McCaw * | 17 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart | 35 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| AJ Hoggard | 30 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Julian Reese | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Springer * | 40 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Chase Hunter * | 40 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 33 | 9-22 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson * | 32 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil | 29 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter