Model Predictions
| Model | Raptors 905 | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.7% | 20.3% | -7.5 | ✓ (37.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron -45 (73-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Roddy * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tyreke Key * | 30 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Patrick McCaw * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Olivier Sarr * | 25 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 30 | - |
| AJ Hoggard | 26 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier | 25 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Julian Reese | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Jaden Bediako | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 32 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Chase Hunter * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil | 33 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jaden Springer | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
* = starter