Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Cruz Warriors | Mexico City Capitanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mexico City Capitanes +7 (121-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance McMillian * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Malevy Leons * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Taevion Kinsey * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 27 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Charles Bassey * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Trey Galloway | 25 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jack Clark | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Franco Miller, Jr. | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jacksen Moni | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Desmond Cambridge | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boo Buie III * | 34 | 10-18 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Ahmad Caver * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| James Bouknight * | 27 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| RJ Melendez * | 20 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Tomas Chapero * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| LJ Figueroa | 26 | 9-11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Wade Taylor IV | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Isaih Moore | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter