Model Predictions
| Model | Osceola Magic | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.7% | 15.3% | -9.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron -5 (106-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Reece Beekman * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Justin Minaya * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| William Baker * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 30 | 11-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Phillip Wheeler | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 20 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Johnell Davis | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Carton * | 42 | 11-18 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 41 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 32 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jaden Springer | 27 | 5-19 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -3 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chase Hunter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter