Model Predictions
| Model | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | Stockton Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stockton Kings +13 (128-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristen Newton * | 40 | 13-21 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Daishen Nix * | 32 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Teddy Allen * | 25 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Efe Abogidi * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Council IV | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| John Knight III | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 21 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Stevie Mitchell | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Vernon Carey Jr. | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Dennis * | 38 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Jon Elmore * | 33 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
| DaQuan Jeffries * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Mitchell Mascari | 28 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Levin | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| KJ Jones II | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Davis | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter