Model Predictions
| Model | Noblesville Boom | Raptors 905 | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Raptors 905 +12 (107-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Martin * | 42 | 6-19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Guy * | 40 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Taelon Peter * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Samson Johnson * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Au'Diese Toney | 31 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Gabe McGlothan | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M.J. Iraldi | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ray Spalding | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lawson * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Alijah Martin * | 31 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Olivier Sarr * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| David Roddy * | 29 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyreke Key | 22 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| AJ Hoggard | 17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier | 16 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Patrick McCaw | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Julian Reese | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter