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2026-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Rio Grande Valley Vipers Stockton Kings Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% -
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: Stockton Kings +6 (110-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JD Davison * 40 10-18 2-6 2-3 4 7 1 1 3 26 18 -
Daishen Nix * 37 7-17 1-7 3-4 11 8 5 0 6 18 19 -
Cameron Matthews * 34 7-12 1-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 15 9 -
Tristen Newton * 27 4-13 2-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 14 5 -
Efe Abogidi * 19 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 7 8 -
Ricky Council IV 25 1-8 0-6 1-2 1 1 2 1 1 3 -1 -
Stevie Mitchell 21 2-4 1-3 1-1 1 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
Teddy Allen 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
Vernon Carey Jr. 14 3-3 2-2 1-1 1 0 0 2 1 10 9 -

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dexter Dennis * 38 4-15 2-10 4-5 7 5 0 0 2 15 10 -
Daeqwon Plowden * 35 9-17 4-8 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 22 5 -
Dylan Cardwell * 30 4-5 0-1 1-3 15 0 0 0 2 9 17 -
Isaiah Stevens * 29 4-10 0-3 2-2 4 7 0 0 3 10 8 -
Jaylin Williams * 28 7-12 5-7 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 19 14 -
KJ Jones II 26 3-5 1-1 4-5 5 3 2 1 4 14 16 -
Jon Elmore 20 3-6 1-2 1-2 3 7 1 0 2 9 12 -
Gabe Levin 17 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 1 1 10 12 -
Mitchell Mascari 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter