Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rio Grande Valley Vipers +15 (130-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Baugh * | 37 | 10-21 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 35 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Koby Brea * | 29 | 8-17 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| CJ Huntley * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| JaQuori McLaughlin * | 23 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 26 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Burk | 21 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alex Schumacher | 18 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristen Newton * | 34 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Daishen Nix * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Teddy Allen * | 32 | 10-15 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Efe Abogidi * | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Ricky Council IV | 26 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Stevie Mitchell | 17 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| John Knight III | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dajuan Harris | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter