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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Valley Suns Memphis Hustle Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% -
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% -
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Log Adjusted 11.7% 88.3% -
Points Off/Def 21.3% 78.7% -

Actual: Memphis Hustle -2 (107-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valley Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Baugh * 36 12-23 3-11 5-5 4 11 3 1 3 34 27 -
Jaden Shackelford * 34 6-12 2-8 0-1 2 0 4 1 1 14 8 -
CJ Huntley * 31 3-8 0-0 4-5 7 1 0 2 3 14 13 -
JaQuori McLaughlin * 30 4-10 3-5 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 14 8 -
Marcus Burk * 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
Alex Schumacher 24 4-7 0-2 2-2 6 4 1 1 4 11 12 -
Koby Brea 24 5-9 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 13 7 -
Sean McDermott 23 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 0 -2 -
Tyrese Samuel 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 2 4 6 12 -

Memphis Hustle

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charlie Brown Jr. * 31 3-11 1-7 2-2 4 3 1 1 4 11 5 -
Jahmai Mashack * 31 4-14 0-2 3-4 7 6 1 0 3 12 9 -
Tyler Burton * 30 7-13 0-3 2-2 7 1 2 1 2 18 14 -
Nate Hinton * 25 3-8 1-4 0-0 10 0 1 0 2 7 8 -
Abou Ousmane * 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 6 6 -
Jordan Minor 35 7-11 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 0 1 18 18 -
Javon Small 21 6-17 3-8 2-2 6 3 0 1 2 17 8 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 21 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
Lucas Williamson 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -
Evan Gilyard 16 3-7 2-4 1-1 1 2 1 0 2 10 5 -

* = starter