Model Predictions
| Model | Osceola Magic | Santa Cruz Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors -10 (96-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 34 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Reece Beekman * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 27 | 8-17 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Justin Minaya * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| William Baker * | 27 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Phillip Wheeler | 28 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 26 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Johnell Davis | 19 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ace Baldwin | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taevion Kinsey * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Malevy Leons * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Charles Bassey * | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Chance McMillian * | 19 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jack Clark | 24 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Desmond Cambridge | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Trey Galloway | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jacksen Moni | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Franco Miller, Jr. | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter