Model Predictions
| Model | Mexico City Capitanes | Austin Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Spurs +4 (109-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boo Buie III * | 34 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Tomas Chapero * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ahmad Caver * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| James Bouknight * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| RJ Melendez * | 24 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Wade Taylor IV | 29 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| LJ Figueroa | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Isaih Moore | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Esteban Ezequiel Roacho Amador | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Umude * | 35 | 9-21 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 32 | 11-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 23 | - |
| David Jones Garcia * | 31 | 6-20 | 2-10 | 3-5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jayden Nunn * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Osayi Osifo * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Mangas | 29 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Trey McGowens | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| James Banks III | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter