Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Celtics | Raptors 905 | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✓ (28.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Raptors 905 +33 (125-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga * | 29 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. * | 23 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kendall Brown * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Amari Williams * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Hayden Gray | 25 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 24 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Scott | 23 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Makhi Mitchell | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Hason Ward | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rahsool Diggins | 12 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Robert Woodard II | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Sarr * | 27 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Alijah Martin * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chucky Hepburn * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tyreke Key * | 25 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| David Roddy * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart | 26 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner | 21 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Patrick McCaw | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| AJ Hoggard | 19 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Julian Reese | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Bediako | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter