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2025-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Mexico City Capitanes Osceola Magic Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 17.1% 82.9% -
Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 26.2% 73.8% -
Points Off/Def 11.1% 88.9% -

Actual: Osceola Magic +7 (119-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mexico City Capitanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Bouknight * 37 9-19 4-11 0-1 5 9 2 0 4 22 15 -
Ahmad Caver * 32 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 5 2 1 1 4 6 -
Boo Buie III * 29 4-13 2-7 2-2 2 2 3 0 1 12 5 -
RJ Melendez * 21 7-14 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 16 10 -
Tomas Chapero * 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 6 7 -
Wade Taylor IV 28 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 6 0 1 1 9 9 -
Isaih Moore 23 4-5 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 1 8 14 -
Andersson Garcia 20 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 2 0 2 10 8 -
LJ Figueroa 15 4-11 2-5 2-2 1 2 2 0 0 13 7 -
Felipe Haase 14 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 12 7 -

Osceola Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Morales * 39 4-6 2-3 2-2 11 5 2 1 2 14 25 -
Reece Beekman * 30 4-9 2-3 0-0 7 10 3 0 2 10 19 -
Jalen Crutcher * 30 7-12 6-11 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 20 8 -
Lester Quinones * 29 11-14 5-8 0-2 4 3 1 0 4 27 17 -
William Baker * 26 3-5 0-1 2-2 8 5 0 1 3 9 15 -
Phillip Wheeler 30 10-15 4-6 2-3 4 1 1 1 5 27 14 -
Javonte Smart 24 2-11 1-4 1-1 2 5 0 0 1 6 1 -
Johnell Davis 19 1-7 0-2 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Ace Baldwin 8 0-0 0-0 2-3 1 3 0 2 2 2 6 -

* = starter