Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron +4 (125-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Shackelford * | 36 | 7-19 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Damion Baugh * | 36 | 7-20 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| JaQuori McLaughlin * | 33 | 9-16 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Burk * | 30 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| CJ Huntley * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Alex Schumacher | 27 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 24 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Alexander * | 37 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 29 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jaden Springer * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Christian Shumate * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Carton | 27 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. | 27 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil | 19 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter