Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Maine Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Maine Celtics +9 (123-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Umude * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Mangas * | 26 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Osayi Osifo * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jayden Nunn * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 36 | 13-23 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Trey McGowens | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| James Banks III | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
Maine Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Bridges * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Max Shulga * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. * | 33 | 9-19 | 4-11 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Kendall Brown * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Amari Williams * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Hayden Gray | 20 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Hason Ward | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Scott | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter