Model Predictions
| Model | Birmingham Squadron | Iowa Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Wolves +16 (117-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Springer * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Trey Alexander * | 35 | 12-21 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Christian Shumate * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. | 25 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell | 20 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Carton | 17 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristen Newton * | 40 | 15-27 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 30 | - |
| Jules Bernard * | 37 | 6-21 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Alize Johnson * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Joan Beringer * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nate Santos | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Rocco Zikarsky | 21 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Donte Ingram | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| CJ Fulton | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter