Model Predictions
| Model | Osceola Magic | Noblesville Boom | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | -5.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Noblesville Boom +13 (112-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reece Beekman * | 39 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Alex Morales * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Phillip Wheeler * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Justin Minaya | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 22 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Johnell Davis | 18 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| William Baker | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ace Baldwin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Guy * | 41 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Taelon Peter * | 38 | 10-17 | 7-13 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | - |
| Kam Jones * | 24 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Samson Johnson * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Au'Diese Toney | 35 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Steven Ashworth | 23 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Cameron Hildreth | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| M.J. Iraldi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Omar El-Sheikh | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter