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2025-03-29

Model Predictions

Model South Bay Lakers Iowa Wolves Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: Iowa Wolves +11 (139-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quincy Olivari * 43 10-23 6-13 4-4 3 8 4 0 1 31 22 -
Grayson Murphy * 32 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 12 0 0 1 5 15 -
Kylor Kelley * 28 7-11 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 1 2 18 17 -
Stanley Johnson * 25 3-6 0-2 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
Jhonathan Dunn * 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
DaJuan Gordon 35 8-14 2-5 3-3 6 3 1 1 2 22 17 -
Sir'Jabari Rice 20 4-10 1-5 2-2 0 5 0 1 2 13 7 -
Solomon Young 18 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 7 7 -
Joirdon Nicholas 18 9-10 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 20 17 -

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Keels * 39 13-23 6-10 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 34 16 -
Jesse Edwards * 35 10-13 0-1 1-2 13 2 0 2 0 22 26 -
Leonard Miller * 34 9-12 2-4 3-4 8 2 0 1 3 23 19 -
Tristen Newton * 31 6-11 4-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 16 15 -
Amari Bailey * 20 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 4 1 -
Skylar Mays 32 4-9 2-4 1-1 1 7 3 0 2 12 12 -
Babacar Sane 25 5-13 3-9 1-3 9 2 0 0 2 15 11 -
William Baker 12 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 10 8 -
El Ellis 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter