Model Predictions
| Model | Birmingham Squadron | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +5 (124-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Crutcher * | 43 | 14-23 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 28 | - |
| Davon Reed * | 43 | 6-19 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Galen Robinson Jr. * | 43 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell * | 41 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| A.J. Reeves * | 33 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Swing | 24 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Will Brown | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 39 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 33 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Ethan Thompson * | 29 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Colin Castleton * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 30 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jarrett Culver | 27 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 18 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter