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2025-03-28

Model Predictions

Model South Bay Lakers Iowa Wolves Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: Iowa Wolves -4 (123-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jhonathan Dunn * 40 7-14 4-10 2-2 2 3 0 1 1 20 11 -
Grayson Murphy * 40 8-13 4-5 0-0 7 12 0 1 3 20 24 -
Stanley Johnson * 38 8-18 0-5 2-3 5 2 3 1 5 19 7 -
Quincy Olivari * 37 8-15 2-6 6-6 12 10 0 2 4 25 30 -
Kylor Kelley * 21 10-15 0-1 1-2 7 0 1 4 0 21 18 -
Solomon Young 26 3-7 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
Joirdon Nicholas 17 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
DaJuan Gordon 16 2-2 1-1 2-3 1 4 2 0 1 9 13 -

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leonard Miller * 44 14-25 3-7 2-2 11 5 1 2 6 33 21 -
Tristen Newton * 42 9-21 3-11 1-1 5 5 2 1 2 23 13 -
Trevor Keels * 41 10-23 6-12 1-1 3 6 0 0 1 27 12 -
Amari Bailey * 37 2-11 0-5 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Jesse Edwards * 28 6-10 0-0 4-5 12 3 3 1 2 18 25 -
Skylar Mays 20 3-5 1-2 1-1 5 4 0 0 1 9 12 -
Martez Brown 16 1-5 0-1 1-2 8 2 2 0 0 4 11 -
Babacar Sane 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter