Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | College Park Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: College Park Skyhawks -11 (101-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyontae Johnson * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 32 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Damion Baugh * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| MJ Walker | 24 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
College Park Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Toppin * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Bowden * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Dwight Murray, Jr. * | 20 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kevon Harris | 30 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner | 27 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Armaan Franklin | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Joey Hauser | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| David Singleton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter