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2025-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Memphis Hustle Spread Result
Elo 64.9% 35.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 77.4% 22.6% -6.8 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% -
Log Adjusted 72.9% 27.1% -
Points Off/Def 61.9% 38.1% -

Actual: Memphis Hustle +11 (113-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malachi Flynn * 37 8-14 4-7 2-2 7 3 2 1 5 24 18 -
David Duke Jr. * 33 3-12 0-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
Osayi Osifo * 30 2-5 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 1 2 8 11 -
Kyle Mangas * 28 3-10 1-3 0-1 2 3 2 1 0 7 5 -
Harrison Ingram * 24 2-12 0-5 1-2 6 3 0 0 1 6 2 -
Kyle Rode 29 2-8 2-7 1-1 4 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
Jameer Nelson Jr. 27 6-13 1-5 2-3 4 3 2 0 2 17 11 -
Ibrahima Diallo 17 5-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 2 0 10 11 -
Luke Avdalovic 10 4-6 4-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 12 6 -

Memphis Hustle

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Hinton * 34 4-9 1-2 2-2 13 4 1 1 0 13 23 -
DJ Steward * 33 7-15 1-2 1-1 1 1 2 0 3 16 2 -
GG Jackson * 32 9-11 3-4 2-5 6 5 1 0 1 24 24 -
Yuki Kawamura * 31 5-11 2-3 3-3 2 5 0 1 2 16 11 -
Armando Bacot * 29 5-12 2-5 1-1 7 5 0 1 2 14 13 -
David Johnson 28 6-10 3-4 1-2 3 0 1 1 2 16 9 -
Malachi Smith 25 4-8 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
Kamani Johnson 11 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Tyler Burton 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 0 -1 -
Race Thompson 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter