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2025-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Santa Cruz Warriors South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 80.1% 19.9% -
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% -
Margin 52.8% 47.2% -0.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: South Bay Lakers +4 (134-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javan Johnson * 32 8-16 3-9 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 19 6 -
Jackson Rowe * 32 9-13 2-2 1-3 7 0 0 1 2 22 15 -
Yuri Collins * 29 4-10 0-2 2-2 1 13 1 0 4 12 13 -
Blake Hinson * 28 7-17 5-12 1-1 4 4 1 3 1 21 15 -
Braxton Key * 28 7-11 3-4 2-2 7 5 1 2 2 21 23 -
Taran Armstrong 30 6-9 3-5 0-0 6 9 1 1 4 15 19 -
Donta Scott 26 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
Seth Maxwell 17 2-3 0-0 1-1 8 0 1 0 0 6 12 -
Alex Gil-Fernandez 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 8 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stanley Johnson * 38 5-11 3-8 0-1 7 6 3 1 2 13 17 -
Bronny James * 35 5-18 5-12 1-1 6 9 2 0 3 17 13 -
Quincy Olivari * 33 9-18 3-9 8-8 8 8 1 0 1 33 31 -
Jhonathan Dunn * 32 7-11 6-9 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 20 18 -
Kylor Kelley * 24 7-7 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 2 0 14 17 -
Sir'Jabari Rice 24 12-18 3-4 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 28 12 -
Solomon Young 20 4-6 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 9 9 -
Grayson Murphy 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 0 6 -
DaJuan Gordon 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Joirdon Nicholas 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter