Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Mexico City Capitanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mexico City Capitanes +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 37 | 8-19 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 36 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alex Schumacher | 23 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Paul Watson | 18 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nate Pierre-Louis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Rodriguez * | 39 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| David Jones Garcia * | 39 | 7-19 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa * | 28 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Akoldah Gak * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 31 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Kyle Rose | 28 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kihei Clark | 19 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Rodrigo Dominguez | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter