Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Memphis Hustle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (30.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Hustle -37 (93-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Mangas * | 33 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Malachi Flynn * | 28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| David Duke Jr. * | 27 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Osayi Osifo * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jameer Nelson Jr. | 24 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Rode | 21 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Parker Van Dyke | 6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Quinton Rose | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tray Jackson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Memphis Hustle
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Steward * | 28 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Yuki Kawamura * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| GG Jackson * | 27 | 3-13 | 0-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Nate Hinton * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Malachi Smith | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| David Johnson | 23 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Kamani Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Burton | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Race Thompson | 13 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Maozinha Pereira | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Charles Matthews | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter