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2025-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Santa Cruz Warriors South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 80.1% 19.9% -
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% -
Margin 52.8% 47.2% -0.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: South Bay Lakers +4 (122-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Hinson * 38 13-29 4-17 2-4 4 0 1 0 3 34 7 -
Jackson Rowe * 37 5-11 1-3 3-4 6 6 1 2 0 15 19 -
Yuri Collins * 36 3-13 0-1 2-2 8 12 2 1 7 9 12 -
Javan Johnson * 20 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 10 7 -
Seth Maxwell * 20 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
Donta Scott 31 5-10 0-3 1-1 6 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
Taran Armstrong 31 8-13 2-4 2-4 7 7 6 1 4 22 26 -
Alex Gil-Fernandez 16 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 9 7 -
Cheikh Mbacke Diong 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 5 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bronny James * 38 14-22 4-8 5-6 6 4 3 1 6 39 25 -
Stanley Johnson * 33 3-9 0-3 3-3 4 6 2 2 1 10 14 -
Cole Swider * 33 6-14 0-5 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 14 7 -
Solomon Young * 22 4-9 0-3 0-0 10 4 0 0 0 8 13 -
Quincy Olivari * 22 1-11 0-4 0-1 9 2 1 0 3 2 0 -
Joirdon Nicholas 25 8-16 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 1 1 19 17 -
Sir'Jabari Rice 22 6-11 0-3 4-5 0 2 2 0 2 20 11 -
DaJuan Gordon 21 2-7 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
Grayson Murphy 13 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 5 2 -
Jhonathan Dunn 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter