Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Mexico City Capitanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mexico City Capitanes -2 (112-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Bridges * | 41 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 40 | 5-20 | 1-13 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 39 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 30 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Alex Schumacher | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Paul Watson | 22 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Nate Pierre-Louis | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Jones Garcia * | 51 | 19-34 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 30 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Akoldah Gak * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Kyle Rose | 42 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Greg Brown III | 36 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 36 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kihei Clark | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter