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2025-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Hustle Valley Suns Spread Result
Elo 31.7% 68.3% -
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% -
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% -
Log Adjusted 37.7% 62.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% -

Actual: Valley Suns +14 (139-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Hustle

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Hinton * 33 2-6 2-5 0-1 5 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
Armando Bacot * 31 10-18 0-3 3-3 10 3 1 1 2 24 19 -
GG Jackson * 28 6-12 4-5 1-1 7 3 1 1 8 18 10 -
DJ Steward * 25 5-12 0-1 1-1 1 3 1 0 1 12 4 -
Yuki Kawamura * 24 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 6 4 -
David Johnson 27 8-14 3-6 2-2 4 6 2 0 2 22 18 -
Malachi Smith 23 4-9 0-1 2-2 3 4 1 0 0 11 10 -
Race Thompson 14 3-4 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 1 0 8 7 -
Tyler Burton 12 0-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Maozinha Pereira 11 8-9 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 16 14 -
Kamani Johnson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Valley Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Shackelford * 36 10-18 5-9 3-3 6 3 0 0 5 32 18 -
TyTy Washington Jr. * 36 15-26 4-9 3-4 5 13 3 0 1 39 33 -
Jalen Bridges * 35 7-12 3-6 0-0 3 2 3 1 2 17 12 -
Moses Wood * 31 5-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 2 3 11 10 -
Mamadi Diakite * 28 3-5 1-3 0-1 8 3 1 2 1 7 15 -
Alex Schumacher 21 6-9 1-4 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 13 13 -
Tyrese Samuel 19 3-5 0-1 2-3 4 1 1 2 1 10 12 -
Paul Watson 18 4-7 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 -
Kaleb Johnson 12 1-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 2 4 -

* = starter