Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Wolves | Austin Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Spurs +21 (136-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Miller * | 35 | 13-19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Tristen Newton * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Keels * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jesse Edwards * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Amari Bailey | 33 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| El Ellis | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Babacar Sane | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Martez Brown | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sy Chatman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| William Baker | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaki Branham * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Malachi Flynn * | 27 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Mangas * | 26 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| David Duke Jr. * | 20 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Osayi Osifo | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Jameer Nelson Jr. | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic | 28 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Quinton Rose | 23 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Parker Van Dyke | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tray Jackson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter