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2025-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Wolves Sioux Falls Skyforce Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -
Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% -
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% -
Points Off/Def 31.1% 68.9% -

Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +20 (121-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Keels * 36 12-20 2-8 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 29 13 -
Tristen Newton * 34 3-14 1-7 2-3 8 7 2 2 2 10 13 -
Leonard Miller * 32 6-22 1-7 1-1 11 3 0 0 3 15 4 -
Skylar Mays * 26 4-7 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 9 10 -
Jesse Edwards * 23 2-7 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 1 4 8 -
El Ellis 25 5-12 0-3 4-4 4 7 1 0 1 17 16 -
Nojel Eastern 17 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 0 3 4 1 -
Amari Bailey 16 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 3 0 -
Babacar Sane 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
Martez Brown 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

Sioux Falls Skyforce

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keshad Johnson * 37 10-17 3-7 3-5 6 1 0 3 0 29 22 -
Isaiah Stevens * 33 2-7 1-2 1-1 1 12 3 0 2 7 14 -
Nassir Little * 31 9-13 4-6 2-2 10 2 1 1 1 26 26 -
Josh Christopher * 25 5-15 2-8 0-0 3 6 0 0 3 12 3 -
Malik Williams * 20 3-7 0-1 0-1 7 3 1 3 0 6 13 -
Caleb Daniels 29 8-10 1-2 0-0 11 1 2 0 1 17 20 -
Alondes Williams 28 7-11 2-6 2-2 5 9 1 0 1 19 22 -
Bryson Warren 19 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 3 2 -
Tyler Polley 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 2 0 -
Christian Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Xavier Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter