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2025-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Valley Suns Austin Spurs Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.4% 51.6% -
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Log Adjusted 28.6% 71.4% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Austin Spurs -2 (111-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valley Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Shackelford * 38 4-18 1-6 9-9 5 4 1 0 7 23 8 -
Alex Schumacher * 38 9-16 4-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 22 9 -
Moses Wood * 36 6-10 2-4 0-1 3 2 1 0 3 14 7 -
Jalen Bridges * 35 2-6 2-4 1-1 4 3 0 0 0 8 9 -
Mamadi Diakite * 28 8-10 4-4 3-4 9 2 1 2 2 23 25 -
Tyrese Samuel 26 4-5 0-0 1-1 6 3 1 0 1 10 14 -
Paul Watson 25 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 9 3 -
Nate Pierre-Louis 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Kaleb Johnson 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malachi Flynn * 41 8-20 3-5 4-4 2 3 1 0 4 28 10 -
Harrison Ingram * 33 4-13 0-3 0-0 11 5 2 2 3 8 12 -
Kyle Rode * 32 5-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 12 5 -
Kyle Mangas * 30 5-7 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 12 8 -
Ibrahima Diallo * 14 1-3 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
Osayi Osifo 31 2-3 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 2 2 8 14 -
Malaki Branham 29 12-18 2-7 0-1 3 4 0 0 2 26 13 -
Jameer Nelson Jr. 17 2-9 0-1 1-1 3 4 3 0 1 6 6 -
Quinton Rose 16 2-6 1-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 7 1 -

* = starter