Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Cruz Warriors | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.8% | 32.2% | -4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron -13 (100-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Key * | 35 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Jackson Rowe * | 35 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Blake Hinson * | 34 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Yuri Collins * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Javan Johnson * | 26 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Taran Armstrong | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Donta Scott | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Alex Gil-Fernandez | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Seth Maxwell | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lester Quinones * | 41 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 38 | 8-19 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 35 | 10-15 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Davon Reed | 29 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Galen Robinson Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E.J. Montgomery | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Reeves | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter