Model Predictions
| Model | Stockton Kings | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✗ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +18 (137-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Taylor * | 35 | 9-22 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Mason Jones * | 34 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Jon Elmore * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Dexter Dennis * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brian Bowen II | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Chasson Randle | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Thomas | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| KJ Jones II | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Joey Calcaterra | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 34 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Ethan Thompson * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 31 | 13-21 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Myron Gardner * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 25 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jarrett Culver | 22 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 21 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Chris Walker | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Pinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter