Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm +7 (115-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Ingram * | 39 | 10-18 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Malachi Flynn * | 37 | 14-24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 22 | - |
| Kyle Mangas * | 31 | 4-17 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Rode * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jameer Nelson Jr. | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Osayi Osifo | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Quinton Rose | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyontae Johnson * | 39 | 13-20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 19 | - |
| KJ Simpson * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Damion Baugh * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 29 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Joel Soriano * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Isaih Moore | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 18 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| MJ Walker | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter