Model Predictions
| Model | Stockton Kings | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron +5 (119-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Taylor * | 40 | 9-22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Dexter Dennis * | 36 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Mason Jones * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jon Elmore * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 29 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Chasson Randle | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Brian Bowen II | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Thomas | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| KJ Jones II | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lester Quinones * | 43 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell * | 41 | 9-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Davon Reed * | 38 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 38 | 13-21 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 32 | - |
| Galen Robinson Jr. | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Reeves | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| E.J. Montgomery | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter