Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Cruz Warriors | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (35.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Osceola Magic -34 (111-145). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuri Collins * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Javan Johnson * | 29 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Jackson Rowe * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Braxton Key * | 27 | 10-18 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Blake Hinson * | 26 | 13-19 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 20 | - |
| Taran Armstrong | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Donta Scott | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Alex Gil-Fernandez | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Seth Maxwell | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Cheikh Mbacke Diong | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson * | 30 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Myron Gardner * | 29 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Alex Morales * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jarrett Culver | 31 | 5-15 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 29 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Chris Walker | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Pinson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter