Model Predictions
| Model | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valley Suns +5 (123-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daishen Nix * | 35 | 8-22 | 1-7 | 3-6 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Jack McVeigh * | 30 | 12-19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels Jr. * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N'Faly Dante * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| John Knight III * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| David Roddy | 26 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Markquis Nowell | 20 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Jones | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Cross, Jr. | 15 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Teddy Allen | 8 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Josh Reaves | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Wood * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Alex Schumacher * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 32 | 8-17 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite * | 27 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Paul Watson | 33 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nate Pierre-Louis | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter