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2025-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Mexico City Capitanes Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% -
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% -
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: Mexico City Capitanes -13 (96-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Mangas * 37 9-17 5-10 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 23 10 -
Harrison Ingram * 37 4-9 0-3 4-5 11 2 1 2 2 12 17 -
Kyle Rode * 34 5-14 3-12 1-1 3 3 1 0 1 14 6 -
Malachi Flynn * 33 10-15 4-6 3-3 6 7 0 0 4 30 24 -
Ibrahima Diallo * 19 1-2 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 2 2 6 -
Osayi Osifo 27 1-1 0-0 1-2 17 1 0 1 1 4 21 -
Jameer Nelson Jr. 20 3-9 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 2 8 4 -
Quinton Rose 17 3-8 0-2 3-4 6 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
Luke Avdalovic 12 2-5 1-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 -

Mexico City Capitanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Jones Garcia * 41 8-24 1-6 6-6 10 5 1 1 1 25 17 -
Dink Pate * 40 10-18 4-10 0-2 6 2 0 0 2 24 12 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 29 4-11 1-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 9 6 -
Ivan Gandia-Rosa * 27 7-13 2-6 2-2 2 7 1 0 2 19 14 -
Felipe Haase * 25 3-8 3-6 1-1 2 3 1 0 1 11 8 -
Luis Rodriguez 26 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 5 -
Kyle Rose 23 1-4 1-4 0-1 2 0 3 0 0 3 4 -
Akoldah Gak 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 0 2 -
Kihei Clark 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter