Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +14 (118-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Simpson * | 41 | 3-14 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Caleb McConnell * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 32 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Joel Soriano * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| MJ Walker | 26 | 2-11 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Isaih Moore | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Devon Higgs | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Slawson * | 31 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Ethan Thompson * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 31 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Alex Morales * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Myron Gardner * | 19 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jarrett Culver | 34 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 29 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chris Walker | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Xavier Pinson | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter